Alright folks, today I wanted to share my whole process trying to figure out how this Memphis vs Florida State game might shake out. Gotta be honest, didn’t think it’d be quite this much work at first.
How I Started Digging In
First thing, I just went down the usual rabbit hole. Pulled up both team’s records. Memphis looking pretty strong this season, Florida State had a rough patch early but seems to be finding their feet lately. Stats, stats, stats – that’s where I lived for like two hours straight yesterday. Looked at points per game, rushing yards, defense stuff, all that basic jazz. Numbers don’t lie, right?
Getting Into the Weeds With Game Tape
Numbers only get you so far though. Felt like I needed to see it. Ended up rewatching chunks of their last three games each. Late nights staring at the laptop screen, man. Here’s what jumped out:
- Memphis QB Seth Henigan: Dude is slick. Seriously, his decision making looked sharp. Doesn’t panic, finds his guys. And he can move when he needs to. Think he could really pick apart the FSU secondary if they’re not careful.
- FSU’s Edge Rusher Jared Verse: Okay, this guy? Scary. Wrecks plays constantly. Watched him blow past tackles like they weren’t even there. Memphis’s offensive line better have a plan for him, or Henigan’s gonna be running for his life all night.
- Memphis RB Blake Watson: Quick, finds holes, sneaky good after contact. Saw him drag defenders for extra yards a few times. Could be key if they wanna control the clock.
- FSU QB Jordan Travis: When he’s on? Dangerous. But consistency… still feels like a question sometimes? Saw him make some incredible throws but also a couple of really head-scratching decisions under pressure.
Where I Got Stuck
Here’s the part that tripped me up hard. Trying to weigh how much home field actually matters for Memphis. Their stadium gets wild, and FSU plays in the ACC, so their away game experience… is it tougher or kinda similar? Spent way too long looking at historical road records for FSU. Still feel kinda wishy-washy on this point. Maybe it tips the balance? Maybe not? Who knows.
Putting My Prediction Together
After all that staring at numbers and watching blurry highlights? Here’s where I landed. Leaning Memphis by about a touchdown. Call it 31-24. Henigan feels like the X-factor, he just seems more settled to me. Plus, that home crowd energy might squeeze FSU early. BUT. Huge but. If Verse goes off and forces Memphis mistakes, or if Travis suddenly plays a perfect game? Florida State could easily flip the script. Their talent is definitely there.
The Final Takeaway
So yeah, that was my whole Saturday afternoon and evening. Poured a cold one halfway through ’cause my brain felt fried. Honestly? Predictions feel tough. There’s always that one play, that one injury, that one dumb penalty you just can’t see coming. Learned that one the hard way last year betting my buddy Larry pizza money. Lost out on a large pepperoni. My gut says Memphis, but FSU definitely has the weapons to mess that up. Good luck to both teams, but mostly to Henigan avoiding Verse!
