Okay, so today I wanted to mess around with predicting the outcome of, you guessed it, an England vs. France game. I’m no expert, just a guy who likes football and playing with data. So, here’s how my little experiment went down.
The Setup
First, I needed some data. I spent some time collecting historical match results between England and France. Just wins, losses, draws, goals scored, that kind of basic stuff. I just found some websites that had all these match statistics. I copied all the data.
Getting My Hands Dirty
Then I thought, “Okay, how do I actually do something with this?”
I considered using a simple average of past results.I mean I could see how many times each team had won, lost, drawn, and how many goals they typically scored against each other.
First Attempt: Simple Averages
So, I threw all the numbers into a spreadsheet, did some quick calculations, and came up with some probabilities. Based purely on past averages, it looked like a draw was the most likely outcome, with a slight edge to France in terms of winning. I even calculated the most probable scoreline based on average goals. It felt… basic, to be honest.
- Pros: Super easy to do.
- Cons: Felt way too simplistic. It didn’t account for, like, anything other than historical scores.
What I learned
Honestly, the whole exercise made me realize how much more goes into predicting a game. Form, player availability, injuries, even the weather probably plays a part! My little spreadsheet adventure was just scratching the surface. It was a fun way to spend an afternoon, but I wouldn’t bet my house on the results.
It’s all is just for fun.I’m no professional, so this was just me experimenting with it.
